Last November, we added a special new question type dealing with the economy. In this post, we will share how indicators based on these questions changed during the coronavirus crisis and foreshadowed the S&P 500’s local low.
The ongoing coronavirus pandemic is creating unprecedented uncertainty. When will the lockdown end? How many people will be affected? What will the impact on the economy be? Expert views vary widely, so Cindicator applied the predictive power of Hybrid Intelligence to try to look into the future.
Groups are more accurate than the best (or the collective mind of) crypto traders: a new alpha horizon for quantitative asset management
An experiment by Cindicator Lab, a newly-launched research centre for forecasting, found that cryptocurrency forecasts formed through debates in small groups are more accurate and valuable than predictions from both the wisdom of the crowd and superforecasters.
Correlation structures in the cryptocurrency market could be described as falling into a core and a periphery. The emergence of a core–periphery structure could show that the cryptocurrency market is evolving beyond pure speculation.
We applied Hybrid Intelligence indicators to trade prediction markets. The results are promising: +88% in 20 weeks, suggesting that it’s possible to profit from the current inefficiencies.
The new report by covers analyst views on Libra, a cryptocurrency announced by Facebook. The report is the first evaluation of cryptocurrency market sentiment towards Libra.
Cindicator has surveyed analysts ahead of the US Congress hearing about Libra. The results suggest that it is likely to lead to a postponement in Libra’s development, while views on the short-term impact on Facebook shares are mixed.
The latest report from Cindicator Analytics explores one of the world’s most debated political events: the UK Withdrawal from the European Union, also known as Brexit.
Given Korea’s role in the crypto world, the Cindicator team undertook in-depth research to examine the South Korean market. We reviewed economic history, exchange data, and the regulatory and taxation landscape.
The first Bitcoin futures was launched on 10 December 2017. Since then it is commonly thought that Bitcoin price drops just before futures contracts expire.
Cryptocurrency markets change at a dizzying speed, faster than other financial markets. Cindicator’s researchers looked into forecasts by decentralized analysts on our collective intelligence platform.